think-expected-value-decision-tree

SKILLWorkflowCommunity
v0.0.0product-on-purposeApache-2.0Aktualisiert vor 5 TQuelle →

Evaluates competing actions under uncertainty by building a decision tree of choice and chance nodes, placing explicit probabilities on outcomes the decider does not control, rolling the tree back to an expected value per option, recommending the best-EV branch, and adding a what-flips-it note namin

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9Repo-Sterne
1Clients
1Formate
vor 5 TLetzte Aktualisierung
Skill
Autorproduct-on-purpose
Version0.0.0
LizenzApache-2.0
KategorieWorkflow
Formateskill.md
PromptNicht veröffentlicht
Kompatibilität
Claude✓ Unterstützt
Cursor
Copilot
ChatGPT
Gemini
Über

Evaluates competing actions under uncertainty by building a decision tree of choice and chance nodes, placing explicit probabilities on outcomes the decider does not control, rolling the tree back to an expected value per option, recommending the best-EV branch, and adding a what-flips-it note naming the probability or value that would reverse the choice. Use when a decision turns on uncertain out

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