Audits whether a stated confidence interval means what it claims by running an equivalent-bet indifference test on its width and scoring nominal confidence against the actual hit rate, emitting corrected intervals and a calibration scorecard. Use when a human-stated interval or confidence number dri
Audits whether a stated confidence interval means what it claims by running an equivalent-bet indifference test on its width and scoring nominal confidence against the actual hit rate, emitting corrected intervals and a calibration scorecard. Use when a human-stated interval or confidence number drives a consequential plan, forecast, or commitment and has never been audited, and the worry is overp