thinking-in-bets

SKILLWorkflowCommunity
v0.0.0zhichao1208NOASSERTIONAktualisiert vor 2 Mon.Quelle →

When the user is judging a past decision by its outcome ("I made the wrong call because it didn't work out") or struggling with repeated uncertain decisions (hiring, investments, product bets, parenting rules) — apply Annie Duke's framework: separate decision QUALITY from outcome QUALITY ("resulting

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1Formate
vor 2 Mon.Letzte Aktualisierung
Skill
Autorzhichao1208
Version0.0.0
LizenzNOASSERTION
KategorieWorkflow
Formateskill.md
PromptNicht veröffentlicht
Kompatibilität
Claude✓ Unterstützt
Cursor
Copilot
ChatGPT
Gemini
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When the user is judging a past decision by its outcome ("I made the wrong call because it didn't work out") or struggling with repeated uncertain decisions (hiring, investments, product bets, parenting rules) — apply Annie Duke's framework: separate decision QUALITY from outcome QUALITY ("resulting"), treat all decisions as probabilistic bets, use calibrated confidence (70% means 70%, not "pretty

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