A calibration loop for material, genuinely uncertain AI judgments whose outcomes can be observed later - log the bet with a numeric probability and an observable trigger, settle against real evidence, and distill recurring biases into rules. Do not trigger for deterministic/trivial claims or claims
A calibration loop for material, genuinely uncertain AI judgments whose outcomes can be observed later - log the bet with a numeric probability and an observable trigger, settle against real evidence, and distill recurring biases into rules. Do not trigger for deterministic/trivial claims or claims with no observable settlement event. Use when logging or settling a material prediction, running a c
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