think-expected-value-decision-tree

SKILLFlujo de trabajocomunidad
v0.0.0product-on-purposeApache-2.0Actualizado hace 5 dFuente →

Evaluates competing actions under uncertainty by building a decision tree of choice and chance nodes, placing explicit probabilities on outcomes the decider does not control, rolling the tree back to an expected value per option, recommending the best-EV branch, and adding a what-flips-it note namin

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hace 5 dÚltima actualización
Skill
Autorproduct-on-purpose
Versión0.0.0
LicenciaApache-2.0
CategoríaFlujo de trabajo
Formatosskill.md
PromptNo publicado
Compatibilidad
Claude✓ Compatible
Cursor
Copilot
ChatGPT
Gemini
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Evaluates competing actions under uncertainty by building a decision tree of choice and chance nodes, placing explicit probabilities on outcomes the decider does not control, rolling the tree back to an expected value per option, recommending the best-EV branch, and adding a what-flips-it note naming the probability or value that would reverse the choice. Use when a decision turns on uncertain out

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