thinking-in-bets

SKILLFlujo de trabajocomunidad
v0.0.0zhichao1208NOASSERTIONActualizado hace 2 mFuente →

When the user is judging a past decision by its outcome ("I made the wrong call because it didn't work out") or struggling with repeated uncertain decisions (hiring, investments, product bets, parenting rules) — apply Annie Duke's framework: separate decision QUALITY from outcome QUALITY ("resulting

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hace 2 mÚltima actualización
Skill
Autorzhichao1208
Versión0.0.0
LicenciaNOASSERTION
CategoríaFlujo de trabajo
Formatosskill.md
PromptNo publicado
Compatibilidad
Claude✓ Compatible
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ChatGPT
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When the user is judging a past decision by its outcome ("I made the wrong call because it didn't work out") or struggling with repeated uncertain decisions (hiring, investments, product bets, parenting rules) — apply Annie Duke's framework: separate decision QUALITY from outcome QUALITY ("resulting"), treat all decisions as probabilistic bets, use calibrated confidence (70% means 70%, not "pretty

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