This skill should be used when the user asks to "forecast this project using reference class," "apply outside-view to this estimate," "calibrate optimism bias on this business case," or has cost, duration, or benefit estimates that need Flyvbjerg-style outside-view benchmarking and HM Treasury Green
This skill should be used when the user asks to "forecast this project using reference class," "apply outside-view to this estimate," "calibrate optimism bias on this business case," or has cost, duration, or benefit estimates that need Flyvbjerg-style outside-view benchmarking and HM Treasury Green Book optimism-bias uplift before approval.