think-expected-value-decision-tree

SKILLFlusso di lavorocommunity
v0.0.0product-on-purposeApache-2.0Aggiornato 5 g faFonte →

Evaluates competing actions under uncertainty by building a decision tree of choice and chance nodes, placing explicit probabilities on outcomes the decider does not control, rolling the tree back to an expected value per option, recommending the best-EV branch, and adding a what-flips-it note namin

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9Stelle del repo
1Client
1Formati
5 g faUltimo aggiornamento
Skill
Autoreproduct-on-purpose
Versione0.0.0
LicenzaApache-2.0
CategoriaFlusso di lavoro
Formatiskill.md
PromptNon pubblicato
Compatibilità
Claude✓ Supportato
Cursor
Copilot
ChatGPT
Gemini
Descrizione

Evaluates competing actions under uncertainty by building a decision tree of choice and chance nodes, placing explicit probabilities on outcomes the decider does not control, rolling the tree back to an expected value per option, recommending the best-EV branch, and adding a what-flips-it note naming the probability or value that would reverse the choice. Use when a decision turns on uncertain out

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