thinking-in-bets

SKILLFlusso di lavorocommunity
v0.0.0zhichao1208NOASSERTIONAggiornato 2 mesi faFonte →

When the user is judging a past decision by its outcome ("I made the wrong call because it didn't work out") or struggling with repeated uncertain decisions (hiring, investments, product bets, parenting rules) — apply Annie Duke's framework: separate decision QUALITY from outcome QUALITY ("resulting

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1Client
1Formati
2 mesi faUltimo aggiornamento
Skill
Autorezhichao1208
Versione0.0.0
LicenzaNOASSERTION
CategoriaFlusso di lavoro
Formatiskill.md
PromptNon pubblicato
Compatibilità
Claude✓ Supportato
Cursor
Copilot
ChatGPT
Gemini
Descrizione

When the user is judging a past decision by its outcome ("I made the wrong call because it didn't work out") or struggling with repeated uncertain decisions (hiring, investments, product bets, parenting rules) — apply Annie Duke's framework: separate decision QUALITY from outcome QUALITY ("resulting"), treat all decisions as probabilistic bets, use calibrated confidence (70% means 70%, not "pretty

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